Forecasts and analysis tools providing guidance for 1-6 months into the future. The seasonal WCS subscription provides access to a comprehensive monthly report as well as unique and interactive website tools.
Forecasts and analysis tools designed for a 2-6 week lead time. Sub-seasonal forecasting is an emerging field that has long been regarded as even more challenging than seasonal forecasting, and demand for actionable sub-seasonal guidance is growing rapidly.
We aim to provide the world’s most reliable and valuable long-range weather intelligence for every public and private enterprise. We strive for excellence in all aspects of our work.
The World Climate Service is unreservedly committed to ethical business practices and a transparent scientific approach to long-range forecasting.
The emerging field of long-range weather and climate forecasting demands ongoing development and refinement of techniques. The World Climate Service is known for an agile development process and rapid product roll-out.
- The World Climate Service avoids over-reliance on a single forecast tool or method. The complexity of the long-range forecast problem demands a broad suite of predictors and an intelligent system to extract predictability.
Probability and Confidence
- The World Climate Service provides and promotes information about forecast confidence and uncertainty. By embracing a probabilistic approach, WCS clients take advantage of high-probability “forecasts of opportunity”.
- The World Climate Service empowers user decision systems by providing automated data feeds. Quantitative forecasts of industry-specific variables allow clients to make weather-sensitive decisions with precision and confidence.
The WCS Team
John A Dutton
In April 2017, the US Bureau of Reclamation launched a year-long realtime forecasting competition for the sub-seasonal timeframe. Contestants were asked to predict temperature and precipitation over the western half of the USA for weeks 3-4 and weeks 5-6, with forecasts issued every other week over the course of a year. Prescient Weather participated[…]
A notable late winter cold outbreak over Europe was successfully anticipated by World Climate Service sub-seasonal forecast guidance. Beginning in early January, WCS sub-seasonal outlooks identified a threat of cold at some point in February, and the risk was more clearly defined in subsequent guidance; by early February, confidence was high that a prominent cold[…]
Prescient Weather was honored by the American Meteorological Society at its 2018 annual meeting in Austin, Texas. Prescient Weather, which operates the World Climate Service, was granted the 2018 award for outstanding services to meteorology by a corporation; the citation reads “For scientific creativity and technological innovation in transforming climate data, climate variability predictions, and[…]
A phase II NOAA SBIR grant was awarded to the World Climate Service to develop seasonal and subseasonal forecasts of industry-specific impact variables and extreme events.